Stock Analiz

HCI Group, Inc. HCI

Property-Casualty Insurers · data as of November 13, 2026

$191.37Market cap $2.4B
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HCI Group, Inc. (HCI) is a financial company listed in the US with a market value of about $2.4B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $981M and net income of $316M, a net margin of 32.2%.

Its overall Stock Analiz score is 3.6 out of 5 (good). The strongest part is value (4/5); the weakest is track record (3/5).

Key numbers: a P/E of 7.7, a price to free cash flow of 5.2, 5-year revenue growth of 24% a year. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 54% below the current price.

Score: 3.6 / 5

Value4/5
Future growth4/5
Track record3/5
Financial health4/5
Shareholder returns3/5

Checks passed

  • P/E below 25
  • P/E below the industry median
  • P/FCF below 20
  • PEG below 1.5
  • Revenue growth above 10% last year
  • 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
  • Profit margin improving
  • Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%

Checks not passed

  • Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
  • 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
  • 5-year average ROIC above 12%
  • Profitable 5 years in a row
  • Interest covered more than 5 times
  • Share count down over 3 years (buybacks)
  • 20% to 100% of free cash flow returned to shareholders

Valuation

P/E (TTM)7.7
Forward P/E9.0
P/FCF5.2
P/S2.4
P/B2.1
EV/EBITDA3.4
PEG0.17
Dividend yield0.84%
FCF yield19.2%
Shareholder yield0.9%
Intrinsic value vs. price−54%

Growth and quality

Revenue growth (1 yr)20.1%
Revenue growth (5 yrs, per year)23.8%
EPS growth (5 yrs, per year)45.5%
FCF growth (3 yrs, per year)—
Net margin (5-yr avg.)10.2%
ROIC (5-yr avg.)—
Profitable years (of last 10)8
Years paying a dividend10

Financials, last 10 years

Fiscal yearTTM2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
Revenue$981M$901M$750M$551M$500M$408M$310M$242M$231M$244M$264M
Net income$316M$299M$110M$79M-$59M$2M$28M$27M$18M-$7M$29M
Free cash flow$458M$441M$328M$224M-$6M$93M$71M$51M$26M$14M$87M
EPS (diluted)$24.75$22.72$8.89$7.62$-6.24$0.21$3.49$0.00$2.34$-0.75$2.92
Net margin32.2%33.2%14.7%14.3%-11.7%0.4%8.9%11.0%7.7%-2.8%11.0%
ROIC———————————

From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.

What analysts expect

The average 12-month price target from 3 analysts is $250.00, 31% above the current price; targets range from $225.00 to $280.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $22.55 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

What is HCI Group’s P/E ratio?

About 7.7, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 9.0).

Is HCI Group stock undervalued?

Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 54% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.

Does HCI Group pay a dividend?

Yes. The dividend yield is about 0.84%, and it has paid dividends for 10 years in our data.

Is HCI Group a good stock to buy?

We do not give buy or sell advice. HCI Group scores 3.6 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.

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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.