Stock AnalizMattel Inc. MAT
Recreational Games/Products/Toys · data as of November 13, 2026
Mattel Inc. (MAT) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $4.3B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $5.6B and net income of $503M, a net margin of 9.0%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.6 out of 5 (average). The strongest part is value (5/5); the weakest is financial health (1/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 8.8, a price to free cash flow of 8.3, 5-year revenue growth of 3% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 11%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 50% above the current price.
Score: 2.6 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
Checks not passed
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
- More cash than debt, or low debt to equity
- Interest covered more than 5 times
- Debt below 3 years of free cash flow
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.6B | $5.3B | $5.4B | $5.4B | $5.4B | $5.5B | $4.6B | $4.5B | $4.5B | $4.9B | $5.5B |
| Net income | $503M | $398M | $542M | $214M | $394M | $903M | $124M | -$219M | -$533M | -$1.1B | $313M |
| Free cash flow | $522M | $483M | $665M | $784M | $337M | $408M | $226M | $118M | -$102M | -$157M | $454M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.71 | $1.24 | $1.58 | $0.60 | $1.10 | $2.53 | $0.35 | $-0.63 | $-1.55 | $-3.07 | $0.91 |
| Net margin | 9.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 16.6% | 2.7% | -4.9% | -11.8% | -21.6% | 5.7% |
| ROIC | — | 8.9% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 6.2% | 0.8% | -5.2% | -6.0% | 8.9% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 13 analysts is $18.04, 19% above the current price; targets range from $10.00 to $28.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $1.34 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Mattel’s P/E ratio?
About 8.8, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 18.4).
Is Mattel stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 50% above the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Mattel pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Mattel a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Mattel scores 2.6 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
Similar companies
Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.