Stock AnalizHilton Grand Vacations Inc. HGV
Hotels/Resorts · IPO 2016 · data as of November 13, 2026
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $3.3B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $5.3B and net income of $417M, a net margin of 7.8%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 1.8 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is value (4/5); the weakest is future growth (0/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 8.5, a price to free cash flow of 7.0, 5-year revenue growth of 41% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 6%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 112% above the current price.
Score: 1.8 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- Profitable 5 years in a row
- Positive free cash flow
- Share count down over 3 years (buybacks)
Checks not passed
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $5.3B | $5.0B | $5.0B | $4.0B | $3.8B | $2.3B | $894M | $1.8B | $2.0B | $1.7B | $1.6B |
| Net income | $417M | $81M | $47M | $313M | $352M | $176M | -$201M | $216M | $298M | $327M | $168M |
| Free cash flow | $473M | $230M | $267M | $281M | $689M | $150M | $71M | $106M | -$208M | $321M | $156M |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.17 | $0.89 | $0.45 | $2.80 | $2.93 | $1.75 | $-2.36 | $2.42 | $3.05 | $3.28 | $1.70 |
| Net margin | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | -22.5% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 10.6% |
| ROIC | — | 4.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.1% | -11.0% | 16.9% | 26.3% | 26.6% | 28.2% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 10 analysts is $47.70, 9% above the current price; targets range from $35.00 to $69.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $6.02 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Hilton Grand Vacations’s P/E ratio?
About 8.5, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 9.3).
Is Hilton Grand Vacations stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 112% above the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Hilton Grand Vacations pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Hilton Grand Vacations a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Hilton Grand Vacations scores 1.8 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.