Stock AnalizGraphic Packaging Holding Co. GPK
Containers/Packaging · data as of November 13, 2026
Graphic Packaging Holding Co. (GPK) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $3.2B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $8.6B and net income of $74M, a net margin of 0.9%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.0 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is shareholder returns (5/5); the weakest is future growth (0/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 43.5, a price to free cash flow of 7.8, 5-year revenue growth of 6% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 8%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 70% above the current price.
Score: 2.0 / 5
Checks passed
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- Profitable 5 years in a row
- Positive free cash flow
- Pays a dividend
- Share count down over 3 years (buybacks)
- 20% to 100% of free cash flow returned to shareholders
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.6B | $8.6B | $8.8B | $9.4B | $9.4B | $7.2B | $6.6B | $6.2B | $6.0B | $4.4B | $4.3B |
| Net income | $74M | $444M | $658M | $723M | $522M | $204M | $167M | $207M | $221M | $300M | $228M |
| Free cash flow | $415M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -$753M | -$433M | -$205M |
| EPS (diluted) | $0.25 | $1.48 | $2.16 | $2.34 | $1.69 | $0.68 | $0.60 | $0.70 | $0.71 | $0.96 | $0.71 |
| Net margin | 0.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| ROIC | — | 6.7% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 10 analysts is $12.10, 11% above the current price; targets range from $10.00 to $16.00; the consensus rating is “Hold”; expected EPS is $0.67 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Graphic Packaging Holding’s P/E ratio?
About 43.5, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 12.9).
Is Graphic Packaging Holding stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 70% above the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Graphic Packaging Holding pay a dividend?
Yes. The dividend yield is about 3.97%, and it has paid dividends for 10 years in our data.
Is Graphic Packaging Holding a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Graphic Packaging Holding scores 2.0 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
Similar companies
Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.