Stock AnalizCheesecake Factory Inc. CAKE
Restaurants · IPO 1992 · data as of November 13, 2026
Cheesecake Factory Inc. (CAKE) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $5.4B. In the twelve months to September 29, 2026 it had revenue of $4.0B and net income of $208M, a net margin of 5.2%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.4 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is shareholder returns (5/5); the weakest is value (0/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 25.9, a price to free cash flow of 24.8, 5-year revenue growth of 14% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 4%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 35% below the current price.
Score: 2.4 / 5
Checks passed
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- Profitable 5 years in a row
- ROE above 15%
- Positive free cash flow
- Interest covered more than 5 times
- Pays a dividend
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.0B | $3.8B | $3.6B | $3.4B | $3.3B | $2.9B | $2.0B | $2.5B | $2.3B | $2.3B | $2.3B |
| Net income | $208M | $148M | $157M | $101M | $43M | $72M | -$253M | $127M | $99M | $157M | $139M |
| Free cash flow | $219M | $155M | $108M | $67M | $49M | $146M | -$47M | $145M | $188M | $118M | $201M |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.22 | $3.06 | $3.20 | $2.07 | $0.86 | $1.01 | $-6.32 | $2.86 | $2.14 | $3.27 | $2.83 |
| Net margin | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | -12.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| ROIC | — | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | -12.8% | 4.3% | 18.9% | 19.4% | 24.2% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 15 analysts is $106.27, 3% below the current price; targets range from $74.00 to $127.00; the consensus rating is “Hold”; expected EPS is $4.70 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Cheesecake Factory’s P/E ratio?
About 25.9, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 21.6).
Is Cheesecake Factory stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 35% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Cheesecake Factory pay a dividend?
Yes. The dividend yield is about 1.10%, and it has paid dividends for 10 years in our data.
Is Cheesecake Factory a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Cheesecake Factory scores 2.4 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.