Stock AnalizChipotle Mexican Grill Inc. CMG
Restaurants · IPO 2006 · data as of November 13, 2026
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (CMG) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $44.6B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $12.7B and net income of $1.4B, a net margin of 10.8%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.4 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is track record (5/5); the weakest is value (1/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 33.0, a price to free cash flow of 29.6, 5-year revenue growth of 15% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 16%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 32% below the current price.
Score: 2.4 / 5
Checks passed
- PEG below 1.5
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
- Profitable 5 years in a row
- ROE above 15%
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- Profit margin improving
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- More cash than debt, or low debt to equity
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $12.7B | $11.9B | $11.3B | $9.9B | $8.6B | $7.5B | $6.0B | $5.6B | $4.9B | $4.5B | $3.9B |
| Net income | $1.4B | $1.5B | $1.5B | $1.2B | $899M | $653M | $356M | $350M | $177M | $176M | $23M |
| Free cash flow | $1.5B | $1.4B | $1.5B | $1.2B | $844M | $840M | $290M | $388M | $334M | $251M | $96M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.07 | $1.14 | $1.11 | $0.89 | $0.64 | $0.46 | $0.25 | $0.25 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $0.02 |
| Net margin | 10.8% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| ROIC | — | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 1.5% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 30 analysts is $40.57, 15% above the current price; targets range from $32.00 to $53.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $1.09 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Chipotle Mexican Grill’s P/E ratio?
About 33.0, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 29.0).
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 32% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Chipotle Mexican Grill pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Chipotle Mexican Grill a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Chipotle Mexican Grill scores 2.4 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.