Stock AnalizZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. ZTO
Trucking Freight/Courier Services · IPO 2016 · data as of November 13, 2026
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. (ZTO) is a industrial company listed in the US with a market value of about $15.6B. In the twelve months to June 30, 2026 it had revenue of $8.1B and net income of $1.6B, a net margin of 19.2%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 4.0 out of 5 (excellent). The strongest part is value (5/5); the weakest is future growth (3/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 11.1, a price to free cash flow of 11.6, 5-year revenue growth of 13% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 11%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 42% above the current price.
Score: 4.0 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
Checks not passed
- Profit margin improving
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
- ROE above 15%
- Share count down over 3 years (buybacks)
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $8.1B | $7.0B | $6.1B | $5.4B | $5.1B | $4.8B | $3.9B | $3.2B | $2.6B | $2.0B | $1.4B |
| Net income | $1.6B | $1.3B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $987M | $746M | $661M | $815M | $637M | $486M | $296M |
| Free cash flow | $1.4B | $966M | $852M | $962M | $640M | -$179M | -$350M | $240M | $157M | $163M | $79M |
| EPS (diluted) | $1.93 | $1.69 | $1.57 | $1.60 | $1.28 | $0.97 | $0.86 | $1.06 | $0.83 | $0.63 | $0.38 |
| Net margin | 19.2% | 18.5% | 19.9% | 22.8% | 19.2% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 25.7% | 24.9% | 24.2% | 21.0% |
| ROIC | — | 11.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 10.2% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Frequently asked questions
What is ZTO Express (Cayman)’s P/E ratio?
About 11.1, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 9.0).
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 42% above the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does ZTO Express (Cayman) pay a dividend?
Yes. The dividend yield is about 3.40%, and it has paid dividends for 8 years in our data.
Is ZTO Express (Cayman) a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. ZTO Express (Cayman) scores 4.0 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.