Stock AnalizVistra Corp. VST
Electric Utilities: Central · data as of November 13, 2026
Vistra Corp. (VST) is a utility company listed in the US with a market value of about $45.1B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $20.6B and net income of $2.5B, a net margin of 12.2%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.4 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is shareholder returns (5/5); the weakest is future growth (0/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 18.0, a price to free cash flow of 17.3, 5-year revenue growth of 9% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 4%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 18% below the current price.
Score: 2.4 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- ROE above 15%
- Positive free cash flow
- Pays a dividend
Checks not passed
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 9 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.6B | $17.7B | $17.2B | $14.8B | $15.6B | $17.7B | $11.4B | $11.8B | $9.8B | $5.4B |
| Net income | $2.5B | $944M | $2.7B | $1.5B | -$1.2B | -$1.3B | $636M | $928M | -$54M | -$254M |
| Free cash flow | $2.6B | $1.3B | $2.5B | $3.8B | -$816M | -$1.2B | $2.1B | $2.0B | $941M | $1.3B |
| EPS (diluted) | $7.38 | $2.18 | $7.00 | $3.58 | $-3.26 | $-2.69 | $1.30 | $1.86 | $-0.11 | $-0.59 |
| Net margin | 12.2% | 5.3% | 15.4% | 10.1% | -7.8% | -7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| ROIC | — | 7.0% | 15.1% | 10.0% | -5.2% | -5.8% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 22 analysts is $200.73, 51% above the current price; targets range from $106.00 to $306.00; the consensus rating is “Strong buy”; expected EPS is $9.36 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Vistra’s P/E ratio?
About 18.0, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 13.8).
Is Vistra stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 18% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Vistra pay a dividend?
Yes. The dividend yield is about 0.69%, and it has paid dividends for 7 years in our data.
Is Vistra a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Vistra scores 2.4 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.