Stock AnalizFrontier Group Holdings, Inc. ULCC
Air Freight/Delivery Services · IPO 2021 · data as of November 13, 2026
Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. (ULCC) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $1.7B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $4.6B and net income of -$413M, a net margin of -8.9%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 0.6 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is track record (1/5); the weakest is value (0/5).
Key numbers: a price to free cash flow of 874.4, 5-year revenue growth of 24% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of -1%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 80% below the current price.
Score: 0.6 / 5
Checks passed
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- Positive free cash flow
- Stock-based pay below 5% of revenue
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 7 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.6B | $3.7B | $3.8B | $3.6B | $3.3B | $2.1B | $1.2B | $2.5B |
| Net income | -$413M | -$137M | $85M | -$11M | -$37M | -$102M | -$225M | $251M |
| Free cash flow | $2M | -$600M | -$158M | -$312M | -$119M | $189M | -$573M | $126M |
| EPS (diluted) | $-1.78 | $-0.60 | $0.37 | $-0.05 | $-0.17 | $-0.48 | $-1.13 | $1.19 |
| Net margin | -8.9% | -3.7% | 2.2% | -0.3% | -1.1% | -5.0% | -18.0% | 10.0% |
| ROIC | — | -2.0% | 1.1% | -0.1% | -1.1% | -2.5% | -7.5% | 44.0% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 9 analysts is $7.39, 3% below the current price; targets range from $5.00 to $10.00; the consensus rating is “Hold”; expected EPS is $-0.28 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Is Frontier Group stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 80% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Frontier Group pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Frontier Group a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Frontier Group scores 0.6 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.