Stock AnalizWarrior Met Coal, Inc. HCC
Coal Mining · IPO 2017 · data as of November 13, 2026
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. (HCC) is a energy company listed in the US with a market value of about $4.4B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $1.9B and net income of $232M, a net margin of 12.5%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.6 out of 5 (average). The strongest part is financial health (4/5); the weakest is future growth (0/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 19.0, a price to free cash flow of 33.3, 5-year revenue growth of 11% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 17%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 2% above the current price.
Score: 2.6 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
- Profitable 5 years in a row
- More cash than debt, or low debt to equity
- Positive free cash flow
Checks not passed
- P/FCF below 20
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $1.9B | $1.3B | $1.5B | $1.7B | $1.7B | $1.1B | $783M | $1.3B | $1.4B | $1.2B | $298M |
| Net income | $232M | $57M | $251M | $479M | $641M | $151M | -$36M | $302M | $697M | $455M | -$50M |
| Free cash flow | $132M | -$91M | -$90M | $209M | $637M | $294M | $25M | $426M | $458M | $342M | — |
| EPS (diluted) | $4.38 | $1.08 | $4.79 | $9.20 | $12.40 | $2.93 | $-0.70 | $5.86 | $13.17 | $8.62 | — |
| Net margin | 12.5% | 4.3% | 16.4% | 28.5% | 36.9% | 14.2% | -4.6% | 23.8% | 50.6% | 38.9% | -16.7% |
| ROIC | — | 1.6% | 10.0% | 23.2% | 37.5% | 15.2% | -1.6% | 28.5% | 34.0% | 44.1% | — |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 6 analysts is $106.50, 28% above the current price; targets range from $95.00 to $122.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $5.63 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Warrior Met Coal’s P/E ratio?
About 19.0, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 11.8).
Is Warrior Met Coal stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 2% above the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Warrior Met Coal pay a dividend?
Yes. The dividend yield is about 0.38%, and it has paid dividends for 9 years in our data.
Is Warrior Met Coal a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Warrior Met Coal scores 2.6 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.