Stock AnalizGrocery Outlet Holding Corp. GO
Food Chains · IPO 2019 · data as of November 13, 2026
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) is a consumer staples company listed in the US with a market value of about $1.3B. In the twelve months to October 3, 2026 it had revenue of $4.8B and net income of -$380M, a net margin of -8.0%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 0.8 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is shareholder returns (2/5); the weakest is value (0/5).
Key numbers: a price to free cash flow of 47.2, 5-year revenue growth of 8% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 1%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 51% below the current price.
Score: 0.8 / 5
Checks passed
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- Positive free cash flow
- Share count down over 3 years (buybacks)
- Stock-based pay below 5% of revenue
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 9 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $4.8B | $4.7B | $4.4B | $4.0B | $3.6B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $2.6B | $2.3B | $2.1B |
| Net income | -$380M | -$225M | $39M | $79M | $65M | $62M | $107M | $15M | $16M | $21M |
| Free cash flow | $27M | $24M | -$75M | $134M | $55M | $42M | $56M | $36M | $41M | $14M |
| EPS (diluted) | $-3.87 | $-2.30 | $0.40 | $0.79 | $0.65 | $0.63 | $1.08 | $0.19 | $0.23 | $0.30 |
| Net margin | -8.0% | -4.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| ROIC | — | -7.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 14.4% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 13 analysts is $12.85, 2% above the current price; targets range from $8.00 to $17.00; the consensus rating is “Hold”; expected EPS is $0.54 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Is Grocery Outlet Holding stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 51% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Grocery Outlet Holding pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Grocery Outlet Holding a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Grocery Outlet Holding scores 0.8 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.