Stock AnalizDollar Tree, Inc. DLTR
Department/Specialty Retail Stores · IPO 1995 · data as of November 13, 2026
Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $25.9B. In the twelve months to August 1, 2026 it had revenue of $20.1B and net income of $1.6B, a net margin of 8.0%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.2 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is value (3/5); the weakest is track record (1/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 16.9, a price to free cash flow of 13.1, 5-year revenue growth of -5% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 9%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 39% below the current price.
Score: 2.2 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- Profit margin improving
- ROE above 15%
- Positive free cash flow
- Interest covered more than 5 times
Checks not passed
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2026 | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $20.1B | $19.4B | $17.6B | $16.8B | $15.4B | $26.3B | $25.5B | $23.6B | $22.8B | $22.2B | $20.7B |
| Net income | $1.6B | $1.3B | -$3.0B | -$998M | $1.6B | $1.3B | $1.3B | $827M | -$1.6B | $1.7B | $896M |
| Free cash flow | $2.0B | $1.1B | $893M | $1.5B | $976M | $410M | $1.8B | $835M | $949M | $878M | $1.1B |
| EPS (diluted) | $8.16 | $6.22 | $-14.03 | $-4.54 | $7.21 | $5.80 | $5.65 | $3.47 | $-6.69 | $7.21 | $3.78 |
| Net margin | 8.0% | 6.6% | -17.2% | -5.9% | 10.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | -7.0% | 7.7% | 4.3% |
| ROIC | — | 11.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | -4.6% | 12.2% | 9.8% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 26 analysts is $134.96, 2% below the current price; targets range from $98.00 to $165.00; the consensus rating is “Hold”; expected EPS is $7.93 for the fiscal year ending January 31, 2027.
Frequently asked questions
What is Dollar Tree’s P/E ratio?
About 16.9, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 18.4).
Is Dollar Tree stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 39% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Dollar Tree pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Dollar Tree a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Dollar Tree scores 2.2 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.