Stock Analiz

Certara, Inc. CERT

Computer Software: Prepackaged Software · IPO 2020 · data as of November 13, 2026

$11.57Market cap $1.8B
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Certara, Inc. (CERT) is a technology company listed in the US with a market value of about $1.8B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $426M and net income of -$64M, a net margin of -15.1%.

Its overall Stock Analiz score is 1.4 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is financial health (3/5); the weakest is value (0/5).

Key numbers: a price to free cash flow of 22.6, 5-year revenue growth of 11% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 0%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 72% below the current price.

Score: 1.4 / 5

Value0/5
Future growth2/5
Track record1/5
Financial health3/5
Shareholder returns1/5

Checks passed

  • Profit margin improving
  • Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
  • 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
  • More cash than debt, or low debt to equity
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Liabilities below 60% of assets
  • 20% to 100% of free cash flow returned to shareholders

Checks not passed

  • P/E below 25
  • P/E below the industry median
  • P/FCF below 20
  • Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
  • PEG below 1.5
  • Revenue growth above 10% last year
  • 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
  • 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year

Valuation

P/E (TTM)—
Forward P/E29.6
P/FCF22.6
P/S4.1
P/B1.8
EV/EBITDA21.9
PEG—
Dividend yield0.00%
FCF yield4.4%
Shareholder yield2.4%
Intrinsic value vs. price−72%

Growth and quality

Revenue growth (1 yr)8.8%
Revenue growth (5 yrs, per year)11.5%
EPS growth (5 yrs, per year)—
FCF growth (3 yrs, per year)1.2%
Net margin (5-yr avg.)-3.9%
ROIC (5-yr avg.)0.3%
Profitable years (of last 10)1
Years paying a dividend—

Financials, last 7 years

Fiscal yearTTM2025202420232022202120202019
Revenue$426M$419M$385M$354M$336M$286M$244M$209M
Net income-$64M-$2M-$12M-$55M$15M-$13M-$49M-$9M
Free cash flow$78M$95M$79M$81M$91M$59M$44M$36M
EPS (diluted)$-0.42$-0.01$-0.08$-0.35$0.09$-0.09$-0.37$-0.07
Net margin-15.1%-0.4%-3.1%-15.6%4.4%-4.6%-20.3%-4.3%
ROIC—1.2%-0.1%-2.4%1.8%0.8%-2.1%3.9%

From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.

What analysts expect

The average 12-month price target from 11 analysts is $12.68, 10% above the current price; targets range from $10.00 to $15.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $0.33 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Is Certara stock undervalued?

Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 72% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.

Does Certara pay a dividend?

Not currently.

Is Certara a good stock to buy?

We do not give buy or sell advice. Certara scores 1.4 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.

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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.