Stock AnalizAlaska Air Group, Inc. ALK
Air Freight/Delivery Services · data as of November 13, 2026
Alaska Air Group, Inc. (ALK) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $4.3B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $15.3B and net income of -$395M, a net margin of -2.6%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.2 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is future growth (3/5); the weakest is financial health (1/5).
Key numbers: a price to free cash flow of 6.4, 5-year revenue growth of 32% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 3%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 69% above the current price.
Score: 2.2 / 5
Checks passed
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- Profitable 5 years in a row
- Positive free cash flow
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- PEG below 1.5
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
- ROE above 15%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $15.3B | $14.2B | $11.7B | $10.4B | $9.6B | $6.2B | $3.6B | $8.8B | $8.3B | $7.9B | $5.9B |
| Net income | -$395M | $100M | $395M | $235M | $58M | $478M | -$1.3B | $769M | $437M | $960M | $797M |
| Free cash flow | $675M | $940M | $1.2B | -$444M | -$253M | $738M | -$456M | $1.0B | $235M | $564M | $708M |
| EPS (diluted) | $-3.51 | $0.83 | $3.08 | $1.83 | $0.45 | $3.77 | $-10.72 | $6.19 | $3.52 | $7.75 | $6.41 |
| Net margin | -2.6% | 0.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 7.7% | -37.1% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 12.2% | 13.5% |
| ROIC | — | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 6.6% | -15.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 16.6% | 13.9% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 16 analysts is $51.69, 34% above the current price; targets range from $33.00 to $78.00; the consensus rating is “Strong buy”; expected EPS is $-4.80 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Is Alaska Air Group stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 69% above the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Alaska Air Group pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is Alaska Air Group a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Alaska Air Group scores 2.2 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.