Stock AnalizAmerican Airlines Group Inc. AAL
Air Freight/Delivery Services · data as of November 13, 2026
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) is a consumer discretionary company listed in the US with a market value of about $8.7B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $61.0B and net income of -$481M, a net margin of -0.8%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 0.4 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is track record (1/5); the weakest is value (0/5).
Key numbers: 5-year revenue growth of 26% a year, a 5-year average ROIC of 3%. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 60% below the current price.
Score: 0.4 / 5
Checks passed
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- Stock-based pay below 5% of revenue
Checks not passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Profit margin improving
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $61.0B | $54.6B | $54.2B | $52.8B | $49.0B | $29.9B | $17.3B | $45.8B | $44.5B | $42.6B | $40.1B |
| Net income | -$481M | $111M | $846M | $822M | $127M | -$2.0B | -$8.9B | $1.7B | $1.4B | $1.3B | $2.6B |
| Free cash flow | -$91M | -$680M | $1.3B | $1.2B | -$373M | $496M | -$8.5B | -$453M | -$212M | -$1.2B | $793M |
| EPS (diluted) | $-0.73 | $0.17 | $1.24 | $1.21 | $0.19 | $-3.09 | $-18.36 | $3.79 | $3.03 | $2.61 | $4.65 |
| Net margin | -0.8% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | -6.7% | -51.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.4% |
| ROIC | — | 2.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | -2.1% | -23.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 13.1% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 23 analysts is $15.35, 17% above the current price; targets range from $6.10 to $24.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $-1.26 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
Is American Airlines Group stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 60% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does American Airlines Group pay a dividend?
Not currently.
Is American Airlines Group a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. American Airlines Group scores 0.4 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.