Stock AnalizAlcoa Corp AA
Aluminum · IPO 2016 · data as of November 13, 2026
Alcoa Corp (AA) is a industrial company listed in the US with a market value of about $10.5B. In the twelve months to September 30, 2026 it had revenue of $14.3B and net income of $1.5B, a net margin of 10.7%.
Its overall Stock Analiz score is 2.0 out of 5 (weak). The strongest part is value (3/5); the weakest is track record (1/5).
Key numbers: a P/E of 6.9, a price to free cash flow of 11.8, 5-year revenue growth of 7% a year. A discounted cash flow model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 7% below the current price.
Score: 2.0 / 5
Checks passed
- P/E below 25
- P/E below the industry median
- P/FCF below 20
- Profit margin improving
- 3-year free cash flow growth above 10% a year
- ROE above 15%
- Positive free cash flow
- Pays a dividend
Checks not passed
- Price below intrinsic value (DCF, moderate assumptions)
- PEG below 1.5
- Revenue growth above 10% last year
- 3-year revenue growth above 10% a year
- Strong R&D investment or growth above 20%
- 5-year EPS growth above 10% a year
- 5-year revenue growth above 8% a year
- 5-year average ROIC above 12%
Valuation
Growth and quality
Financials, last 10 years
| Fiscal year | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $14.3B | $12.8B | $11.9B | $10.6B | $12.5B | $12.2B | $9.3B | $10.4B | $13.4B | $11.7B | $9.3B |
| Net income | $1.5B | $1.2B | $60M | -$651M | -$123M | $429M | -$170M | -$1.1B | $250M | $279M | -$400M |
| Free cash flow | $890M | $567M | $42M | -$440M | $342M | $530M | $41M | $307M | $49M | $819M | -$715M |
| EPS (diluted) | $5.74 | $4.37 | $0.26 | $-3.65 | $-0.68 | $2.26 | $-0.91 | $-6.07 | $1.33 | $1.49 | $-2.19 |
| Net margin | 10.7% | 9.0% | 0.5% | -6.2% | -1.0% | 3.5% | -1.8% | -10.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | -4.3% |
| ROIC | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | -1.8% |
From the company’s 10-K and 10-Q filings with the SEC. TTM = trailing twelve months.
What analysts expect
The average 12-month price target from 13 analysts is $54.59, 37% above the current price; targets range from $48.00 to $63.00; the consensus rating is “Buy”; expected EPS is $6.79 for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026.
Frequently asked questions
What is Alcoa’s P/E ratio?
About 6.9, based on the last twelve months of diluted earnings per share (forward P/E about 7.2).
Is Alcoa stock undervalued?
Our DCF model with moderate assumptions puts its intrinsic value about 7% below the current market value. A model is a range, not a promise; try your own assumptions in the DCF calculator.
Does Alcoa pay a dividend?
Yes. The dividend yield is about 0.97%, and it has paid dividends for 5 years in our data.
Is Alcoa a good stock to buy?
We do not give buy or sell advice. Alcoa scores 2.0 out of 5 on our five checks (value, growth, track record, financial health and shareholder returns); the checks above show why.
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Generated from SEC filings, analyst consensus estimates and market prices, rebuilt every day. Educational information, not investment advice.